California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 3

Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
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  • Tarleton State is a -2.5 point favorite vs California Baptist
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • California Baptist / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The California Baptist Lancers visit EECU Center to take on the Tarleton State Texans on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-118).

The California Baptist vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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California Baptist vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California Baptist+2.5 -102O 144.5 -110125
Tarleton State -2.5 -118U 144.5 -110-155

California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 63.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

California Baptist vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • California Baptist have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)

California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California Baptist has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 8.95% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.1 Units / -49.09% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / 40% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 9-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 4.46% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (736 turnovers/47 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

California Baptist allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

California Baptist allowed 65.5 points per game (2,030 points/31 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

California Baptist forced 9.8 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (736 turnovers/47 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 5.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

California Baptist allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

California Baptist allowed 65.5 points per game (2,030 points/31 games) last season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

California Baptist forced 9.8 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.