Central Michigan vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Central Michigan is a -3.5 point favorite vs Ball State
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Central Michigan / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Central Michigan Chippewas visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Muncie, IN, USA.

Central Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Central Michigan vs. Ball State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Central Michigan vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Michigan-3.5 -105O 147.5 -110-160
Ball State +3.5 -115U 147.5 -110+135

Central Michigan vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Central Michigan vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.71 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.54 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Central Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Central Michigan has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI).

  • 9-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -10.02% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -20.85% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.95 Units / 10.33% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -19.2% ROI

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan averaged 1.13 points per shot (2,127 points/1,880 shots) last season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Central Michigan averaged 66.5 points per game (2,127 points/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Central Michigan had a TS% of 44% last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%

Central Michigan had an eFG% of 47% last season — 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 48% free throw rate (732 free throw attempts/1,528 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has 26.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Ball State has a 43% free throw rate (1,377 free throw attempts/3,205 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has attempted 732 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Central Michigan averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (781 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Central Michigan has averaged 25.7 defensive rebounds per game (746 rebounds/29 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.0

Central Michigan has 405 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Central Michigan has averaged 6.6 steals per game (405 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (146 steals/28 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Ball State has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (288 turnovers/28 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.5

Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (311 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.