Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 1

Basketball referee making a call
(AP Photo)
  • Chattanooga is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mercer
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Chattanooga / Mercer TV channel: ESPN+

The Chattanooga Mocs visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears on Jan. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Macon, GA.

Chattanooga is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Chattanooga vs. Mercer Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Chattanooga vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chattanooga-3.5 -115O 156.5 -105-175
Mercer +3.5 -105U 156.5 -115+145

Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Chattanooga will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Chattanooga vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Chattanooga will cover the spread with 69.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 1.01% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -1.73% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga shot 61% from inside the arc (412/673) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Chattanooga is shooting 61% from inside the arc (577/945) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Chattanooga has made 9.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Chattanooga has averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (105 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has a 26% free throw rate (221 free throw attempts/863 field goal attempts) this season — 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mercer averaged 1.19 points per shot (2,192 points/1,843 shots) last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Mercer averaged 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (310 rebounds/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Mercer has averaged 82.6 points per game (1,074 points/13 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 77.5

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (834 rebounds/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Chattanooga has averaged 5.7 steals per game (74 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 44th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Chattanooga forced 9.7 turnovers per game (310 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Chattanooga allowed opponents to shoot 42% (803/1,930) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,014 rebounds/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Mercer has 132 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Mercer has averaged 10.2 steals per game (132 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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