Chattanooga vs Samford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:39 AM
  • Samford (21-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Chattanooga (16-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Chattanooga Mocs (16-16) visit Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville to take on the Samford Bulldogs (21-10) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Asheville.

Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Chattanooga vs. Samford Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Chattanooga vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chattanooga+1.5 -105O 154.5 -115+110
Samford -1.5 -115U 154.5 -105-135

Chattanooga vs Samford Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Samford will win this game with 56.8% confidence.

Chattanooga vs Samford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Chattanooga will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Chattanooga and Samford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Chattanooga have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 25 away games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+18.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Samford have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 41 games (+5.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Samford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+4.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has gone 12-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -15.65% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Samford has gone 14-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 2.33% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.45% ROI

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has made 11.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Chattanooga is shooting 38% from three (274/728) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 34%

Chattanooga has made 11.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 8.3

Chattanooga has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,851 points/1,391 shots) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has a 39% free throw rate (546 free throw attempts/1,390 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 31%

Samford has 736 turnovers since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Southern Teams

Samford has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 17.8

Samford has a 33% free throw rate (1,090 free throw attempts/3,313 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 28%

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Chattanooga has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,460 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Chattanooga has 388 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Southern Teams

Chattanooga has averaged 6.6 steals per game (388 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Samford has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Samford has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Samford has 174 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams

Samford has 413 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.