Cleveland State vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Detroit Mercy head coach Mark Montgomery reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
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  • Detroit Mercy is a -6.5 point favorite vs Cleveland State
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Cleveland State / Detroit Mercy TV channel: ESPN+

The Cleveland State Vikings visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

Detroit Mercy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Cleveland State vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Cleveland State vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cleveland State+6.5 -102O 159.5 -110240
Detroit Mercy -6.5 -118U 159.5 -110-300

Cleveland State vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Detroit Mercy will win this college basketball game with 76.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cleveland State vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Detroit Mercy will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cleveland State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cleveland State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 27 games (+2.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Cleveland State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cleveland State has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -58.16% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).

  • 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -15.49% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Cleveland State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (364/835) this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 46%

Detroit Mercy allowed 80.3 points per game (2,489 points/31 games) last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cleveland State averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (749 rebounds/35 games) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Cleveland State allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (222/753) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Cleveland State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 7.5

Cleveland State has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,857 rebounds/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cleveland State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (364/835) this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 46%

Detroit Mercy allowed 80.3 points per game (2,489 points/31 games) last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cleveland State averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (749 rebounds/35 games) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Cleveland State allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (222/753) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Cleveland State allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 7.5

Cleveland State has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,857 rebounds/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.