Colgate vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – March Madness, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 8:24 AM
  • Texas (26-8) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Colgate (26-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on TBS

The #15 Colgate Raiders (26-8) visit Wells Fargo Arena to take on the #2 Texas Longhorns (26-8) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:25pm EDT in Des Moines.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Colgate vs. Texas Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Colgate vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colgate+13.5 -110O 147.5 -105+725
Texas -13.5 -110U 147.5 -115-1200

Colgate vs Texas Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 73.8% confidence.

Colgate vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colgate and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Colgate has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 40 games (+21.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Colgate has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Colgate has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Colgate have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Colgate have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

Colgate Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colgate has gone 17-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI).

  • 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 8.16% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting the Under for -9 Units / -24.79% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has gone 17-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -4.56% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 8.96% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.28% ROI

Colgate Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colgate has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (422 assists/ 250 TOs) this season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colgate has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (422 assists/ 250 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colgate has an eFG% of 57% since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 51%

Colgate has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,020 assists/ 637 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas has a TS% of 51% in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas has averaged 2.8 turnovers per game (59 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.6

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Colgate Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colgate has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,513 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Colgate has 165 steals this season — 2nd most among Patriot League Teams

Colgate has averaged 6.9 steals per game (165 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Colgate has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (577 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Patriot League Teams; League Avg: 23.4

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed 0.3 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three off the dribble (14/38) in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.