Colorado State vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:27 PM
  • San Diego State (21-5) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Colorado State (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Colorado State Rams (12-15) visit Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (21-5) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in San Diego.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Colorado State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State+10.5 -110O 136.5 -110+450
San Diego State -10.5 -110U 136.5 -110-650

Colorado State vs San Diego State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 73.0% confidence.

Colorado State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado State and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+18.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+9.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has gone 10-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.65 Units / -26.7% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -38.59% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 21.33% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -30.07% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has gone 12-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 10.26% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (848 assists/ 567 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (406 assists/ 255 TOs) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Colorado State has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (406 assists/ 255 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has averaged 9.7 points per game (136 points/14 games) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.4

San Diego State has averaged 31.8 points per game (445 points/14 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34.9

San Diego State has averaged 1.02 points per shot (271 points/266 shots) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.12

San Diego State has averaged 1.20 points per shot (102 points/85 shots) on left wing attempts this season in conference play — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.00

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (1,653 points/1,295 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Colorado State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (580/1,295) this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Colorado State has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Colorado State has allowed 71.9 points per game (1,653 points/23 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,176/2,915) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (349/1,153) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (156/507) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (550 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.