Colorado vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

(AP Photo)
  • TCU is a -2.5 point favorite vs Colorado
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Colorado / TCU TV channel: ESPN+

The Colorado Buffaloes visit T-Mobile Center to take on the TCU Horned Frogs on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO, USA.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Colorado vs. TCU Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Colorado vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado+2.5 -110O 133.5 -110+125
TCU -2.5 -110U 133.5 -110-150

Colorado vs TCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Colorado vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+0.57 Units / 1% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+4.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Colorado Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.75 Units / -13.91% ROI).

  • 12-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -16.74% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.65 Units / 7.76% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 12-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.95 Units / -26.28% ROI).

  • 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 1.8% ROI
  • 10-21 when betting the Over for -13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI
  • 21-10 when betting the Under for +10 Units / 29.33% ROI

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado averaged 1.59 points per shot (573 points/361 shots) in the second half last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39

Colorado has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (638 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Colorado has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (452 turnovers/31 games) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Colorado shot 50% (969/1,951) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU has a TS% of 43% this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

TCU has an eFG% of 47% this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado allowed an average of 0.99 points per shot (378 points/380 shots) in the first half last season — 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

Colorado allowed 29.1 points per game (378 points/13 games) in the first half last season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32.8

Colorado allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (500 points/374 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Colorado has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,729 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.