Creighton vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

(AP Photo)
  • Xavier is a -2.5 point favorite vs Creighton
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Creighton / Xavier TV channel: FOX

The Creighton Bluejays visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Cincinnati, OH, USA.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Creighton vs. Xavier Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Creighton vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Creighton+2.5 -115O 149.5 -110+115
Xavier -2.5 -105U 149.5 -110-140

Creighton vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Creighton vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Xavier will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Creighton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Creighton have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+8.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Creighton have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Creighton has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.44 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Creighton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Creighton has a 18-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.95 Units / 22.53% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 2.97% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.15% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 9.27% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.94% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -11.51% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

Creighton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Creighton has a TS% of 53% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Creighton had an eFG% of 57% last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Creighton made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has a 39% free throw rate (610 free throw attempts/1,578 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Xavier has averaged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (230 rebounds/28 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Xavier is shooting 79% from the free throw line (482/610) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Xavier averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (406 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Creighton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Creighton has averaged 3.6 steals per game (102 steals/28 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Creighton averaged 30.0 defensive rebounds per game (960 rebounds/32 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Creighton has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,788 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Creighton has averaged 3.7 steals per game (223 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (881 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Xavier has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier stole the ball 229 times last season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has 220 steals this season — 5th most among Big East Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.