Davidson vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 15

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
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  • Dayton is a -4.5 point favorite vs Davidson
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Davidson / Dayton TV channel: ESPN2

The Davidson Wildcats visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Feb. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Davidson vs. Dayton Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Davidson vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Davidson vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 66.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Davidson vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Davidson has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.55 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+6.40 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Davidson have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Davidson have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+13.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Davidson Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Davidson has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 7.78% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -28.46% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -0.5% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.35 Units / -20.3% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.34% ROI

Davidson Offensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (563 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Davidson has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (253 turnovers/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Davidson shot 32% from three (225/708) last season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Davidson is shooting 38% from three (225/593) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Davidson Defensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson averaged 5.4 steals per game (174 steals/32 games) last season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Davidson has averaged 7.1 steals per game (170 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Davidson forced 10.2 turnovers per game (327 turnovers/32 games) last season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Davidson has allowed 68.6 points per game (1,647 points/24 games) this season — 5th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has forced 15.9 turnovers per game (381 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Dayton allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (246/763) last season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.