Davidson vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 10:55 AM
  • Davidson (10-12) are -1.5 point favorites vs UMass (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on USA

The Davidson Wildcats (10-12) visit William D. Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen (13-9) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Amherst.

Davidson is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Davidson vs. UMass Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Davidson vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Davidson-1.5 +100O 139.5 -110-115
UMass +1.5 -120U 139.5 -110-105

Davidson vs UMass Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UMass will win this game with 54.6% confidence.

Davidson vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Davidson and UMass, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Davidson has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 47 games (+8.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Davidson has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Davidson have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • UMass have covered the Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)

Davidson Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Davidson has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -14.06% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Over for -8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Under for +6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI

Davidson Offensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (254 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Davidson has averaged 69.5 points per game (1,530 points/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.7

Davidson has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Davidson is shooting 32% from three (141/445) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has a TS% of 44% this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UMass has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMass has a 34% free throw rate (457 free throw attempts/1,343 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 45th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

UMass is shooting 36% from three (446/1,233) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Davidson Defensive Stats & Trends:

Davidson has averaged 5.0 steals per game (281 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Davidson has averaged 5.6 steals per game (124 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Davidson has averaged 5.0 steals per game (281 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Davidson has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (639 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 43rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 7.1 steals per game (156 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (419/1,197) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,472/3,172) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.