Dayton vs Richmond Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

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  • Dayton is a -4.5 point favorite vs Richmond
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Dayton / Richmond TV channel: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers visit Robins Center to take on the Richmond Spiders on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Richmond, VA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Dayton vs. Richmond Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. Richmond Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-4.5 -115O 146.5 -110-220
Richmond +4.5 -105U 146.5 -110+180

Dayton vs Richmond Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs Richmond Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Richmond have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Richmond has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.45 Units / 45% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.85% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Over for -8.75 Units / -27.47% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 18.47% ROI

Richmond Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Richmond has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -7.32% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton has 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.5

Richmond Offensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Richmond averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Richmond averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/31 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Richmond averaged 5.7 offensive rebounds per game (176 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has forced 15.4 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Dayton has forced 15.4 turnovers per game (448 turnovers/29 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Richmond Defensive Stats & Trends:

Richmond allowed opponents to shoot 41% (741/1,819) last season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Richmond allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,061 points/1,819 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Richmond allowed 66.5 points per game (2,061 points/31 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Richmond averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (838 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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