Dayton vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 1:03 PM
  • Dayton (18-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UMass (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Dayton Flyers (18-9) visit William D. Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen (14-13) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Amherst.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Dayton vs. UMass Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-8.5 -110O 137.5 -110-400
UMass +8.5 -110U 137.5 -110+300

Dayton vs UMass Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Dayton will win this game with 70.3% confidence.

Dayton vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Dayton and UMass, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UMass has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has gone 12-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -4.83% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has gone 11-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -22.26% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 69.4 points per game (4,028 points/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (347 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (347 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (852 assists/ 732 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has a TS% of 44% this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UMass has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMass is shooting 41% (556/1,343) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMass has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,573 points/1,343 shots) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Dayton has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Dayton has averaged 5.4 steals per game (311 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has averaged 7.1 steals per game (156 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,472/3,172) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.