- Dayton (18-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UMass (14-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The Dayton Flyers (18-9) visit William D. Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen (14-13) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Amherst.
Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Dayton vs. UMass Over/Under is 137.5 total points.
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Dayton vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dayton | -8.5 -110 | O 137.5 -110 | -400 |
| UMass | +8.5 -110 | U 137.5 -110 | +300 |
Dayton vs UMass Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Dayton will win this game with 70.3% confidence.
Dayton vs UMass Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Dayton and UMass, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Dayton Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Dayton have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
UMass Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMass has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- UMass has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Dayton has gone 12-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -4.83% ROI
- 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -29.29% ROI
- 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.2% ROI
UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMass has gone 11-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -22.26% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI
Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton has averaged 69.4 points per game (4,028 points/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2
Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (347 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (347 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (852 assists/ 732 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMass has a TS% of 44% this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
UMass has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
UMass is shooting 41% (556/1,343) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
UMass has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,573 points/1,343 shots) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Dayton has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Dayton has averaged 5.4 steals per game (311 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMass has averaged 7.1 steals per game (156 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,472/3,172) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
UMass has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (4,056 points/3,172 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19
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