- Dayton is a -9.5 point favorite vs UMass
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- Dayton / UMass TV channel: PEAC
The Dayton Flyers visit Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Amherst, MA.
Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-120).
The Dayton vs. UMass Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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Dayton vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dayton | -9.5 -120 | O 147.5 -110 | -550 |
| UMass | +9.5 +100 | U 147.5 -110 | +400 |
Dayton vs UMass Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Dayton vs UMass Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Dayton Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+7.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
UMass Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Dayton has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 1.77% ROI
- 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 36.25% ROI
- 4-10 when betting the Under for -6.95 Units / -45.28% ROI
UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMass has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (248 assists/ 147 TOs) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (248 assists/ 147 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMass is shooting 27% from three (82/305) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMass is shooting 30% from three (284/951) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
UMass has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,103 points/947 shots) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30
UMass has averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (210 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5
Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Dayton has averaged 6.0 steals per game (281 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMass stole the ball 228 times last season — 5th most among Atlantic 10 Teams
UMass has averaged 8.1 steals per game (122 steals/15 games) this season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
UMass has 122 steals this season — 4th most among Atlantic 10 Teams
UMass has averaged 7.8 steals per game (350 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
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