Dayton vs VCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

Virginia Commonwealth's Max Shulga (11) dribbles as Dayton's Enoch Cheeks (6) defends during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, March 8, 2024, in Dayton, Ohio. (AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
(AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
  • VCU is a -8.5 point favorite vs Dayton
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Dayton / VCU TV channel: ESPN2

The Dayton Flyers visit Stuart C. Siegel Center to take on the VCU Rams on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Richmond, VA, USA.

VCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-118).

The Dayton vs. VCU Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. VCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton+8.5 -102O 142.5 -115+340
VCU -8.5 -118U 142.5 -105-450

Dayton vs VCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts VCU will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs VCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.32 Units / 11% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games (+15.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+7.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • VCU have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 0.63% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting the Over for +10.1 Units / 31.61% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting the Under for -12.95 Units / -40.66% ROI

VCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VCU has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).

  • 23-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 2.75% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -14.31% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (259 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

VCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

VCU averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,561 points/1,956 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

VCU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (443 assists/ 327 TOs) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

VCU made 529 free throws last season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU averaged 71.1 points per game (2,561 points/36 games) last season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 73.0

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 6.4 steals per game (399 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (246/763) last season — 4th best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

VCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (410/1,331) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

VCU has averaged 8.3 steals per game (241 steals/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

VCU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,436/3,592) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

VCU has 241 steals this season — 2nd most among Atlantic 10 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.