Denver vs Kansas City Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 1:13 PM
  • Kansas City (9-13) are -5.5 point favorites vs Denver (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points

The Denver Pioneers (12-11) visit Swinney Recreation Center to take on the Kansas City Roos (9-13) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Kansas City.

Kansas City is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Denver vs. Kansas City Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Denver vs. Kansas City Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+5.5 -105O 136.5 -110+200
Kansas City -5.5 -115U 136.5 -110-250

Denver vs Kansas City Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas City will win this game with 62.9% confidence.

Denver vs Kansas City Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas City will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Denver and Kansas City, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Denver have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kansas City has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kansas City has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has gone 8-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.69% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -31.4% ROI
  • 15-5 when betting the Over for +9.5 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 5-15 when betting the Under for -11.5 Units / -52.27% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has a 45% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,229 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Denver has made 4.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver has 23.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Denver has averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,700 points/1,229 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Kansas City Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas City is shooting 29% from three (138/473) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kansas City has an eFG% of 46% this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Kansas City has averaged 10.0 assists per game (219 assists/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Kansas City has averaged 66.4 points per game (1,461 points/22 games) this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 5.4 steals per game (125 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver has averaged 5.3 steals per game (292 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Denver has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (610 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Denver has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (646/1,411) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Kansas City Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas City has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (485/1,208) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Kansas City has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,212 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Kansas City has forced 14.1 turnovers per game (746 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.