Denver vs North Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

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  • North Dakota State is a -11.5 point favorite vs Denver
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Denver / North Dakota State TV channel: ESPN+

The Denver Pioneers visit Scheels Center to take on the North Dakota State Bison on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Fargo, ND.

North Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Denver vs. North Dakota State Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Denver vs. North Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Denver vs North Dakota State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs North Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Dakota State will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 17 away games (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Denver have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Denver have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 17.63% ROI).

  • 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 10.99% ROI
  • 18-3 when betting the Over for +14.7 Units / 63.64% ROI
  • 3-18 when betting the Under for -16.8 Units / -72.73% ROI

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units / 19.51% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver averaged 80.9 points per game (2,589 points/32 games) last season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Denver is shooting 77% from the free throw line (384/499) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 72%

Denver has averaged 83.3 points per game (2,000 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 78.1

Denver has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State shot 48% (873/1,834) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Dakota State has averaged 81.3 points per game (1,952 points/24 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.4

North Dakota State had a TS% of 50% last season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

North Dakota State shot 38% from three (252/667) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (7,073 points/5,214 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Denver has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,481/5,214) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Denver has allowed 84.2 points per game (2,021 points/24 games) this season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Denver allowed 80.3 points per game (2,569 points/32 games) last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State allowed opponents to shoot 46% (879/1,909) last season — 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

North Dakota State has allowed 70.4 points per game (1,689 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 77.3

North Dakota State forced 9.3 turnovers per game (297 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.