Detroit Mercy vs Northern Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

A team manager dressed in a dark blue suit, shouting something at his team on the field
(AP Photo)
  • Northern Kentucky is a -13.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Detroit Mercy / Northern Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Detroit Mercy Titans visit Truist Arena to take on the Northern Kentucky Norse on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Highland Heights, KY, KY, USA.

Northern Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Detroit Mercy vs. Northern Kentucky Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Detroit Mercy vs. Northern Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Detroit Mercy+13.5 -115O 140.5 -110+700
Northern Kentucky -13.5 -105U 140.5 -110-1100

Detroit Mercy vs Northern Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Detroit Mercy vs Northern Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Northern Kentucky vs Detroit Mercy and all games with BetMGM


  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 31 games (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.71 Units / 7% ROI)

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 5.48% ROI).

  • 8-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 16.45% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -7.15% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 10-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.8 Units / -30.82% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -4.95% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.45 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 1.15 points per shot (4,115 points/3,586 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Detroit Mercy has averaged 11.0 assists per game (340 assists/31 games) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Detroit Mercy averaged 1.17 points per shot (2,044 points/1,746 shots) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Detroit Mercy has averaged 1.13 points per shot (2,071 points/1,840 shots) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky is shooting 66% from the free throw line (378/573) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 72%

Northern Kentucky averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (657 free throw attempts/1,811 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 31%

Northern Kentucky is shooting 33% from three (235/721) this season — 4th lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Kentucky is shooting 33% from three (235/721) this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Detroit Mercy has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (767 rebounds/31 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Detroit Mercy has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,361 rebounds/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Detroit Mercy averaged 19.2 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (663 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Northern Kentucky averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (696 rebounds/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,359 rebounds/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Northern Kentucky has 240 steals this season — 4th most among Horizon Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.