Drake vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • Drake is a -8.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
  • Total (Over/Under): 118.5 points
  • Drake / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Drake Bulldogs visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Springfield, MO, MO, USA.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Drake vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 118.5 total points.

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Drake vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Drake-8.5 -110O 118.5 -102-425
Missouri State +8.5 -110U 118.5 -118+320

Drake vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Drake vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Drake will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+21.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI).

  • 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 6.41% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -42.47% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.53% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.85 Units / -4.3% ROI

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (782 assists/ 529 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (304 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (244 assists/ 259 TOs) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 12.2 assists per game (244 assists/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 14.4

Missouri State has a 38% free throw rate (418 free throw attempts/1,109 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has allowed 57.8 points per game (1,098 points/19 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Drake averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (858 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Drake has 172 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake has averaged 9.1 steals per game (172 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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