Drake vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
  • Drake is a -4.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 123.5 points
  • Drake / Murray State TV channel: ESPN2

The Drake Bulldogs visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Murray, KY, USA.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Drake vs. Murray State Over/Under is 123.5 total points.

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Drake vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Drake-4.5 -110O 123.5 -115-200
Murray State +4.5 -110U 123.5 -105+165

Drake vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Drake vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Drake will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 32 games (+23.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 4.98% ROI).

  • 18-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.7 Units / 7.65% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -26.34% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 17.36% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -26.03% ROI

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Drake has a 36% free throw rate (1,099 free throw attempts/3,010 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has a 43% free throw rate (541 free throw attempts/1,267 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State has made 26 two point field goals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 20.5 defensive rebounds per game (451 rebounds/22 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Drake has 205 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake has forced 13.3 turnovers per game (717 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Drake has allowed 58.0 points per game (1,277 points/22 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has 163 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (355 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Murray State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.