- Drake (18-6) are -8.5 point favorites vs Valparaiso (10-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Drake Bulldogs (18-6) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (10-14) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Valparaiso.
Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).
The Drake vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Drake vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Drake | -8.5 -115 | O 136.5 -110 | -400 |
| Valparaiso | +8.5 -105 | U 136.5 -110 | +300 |
Drake vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Drake will win this game with 70.1% confidence.
Drake vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Drake will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Drake and Valparaiso, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Drake has gone 8-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / 0% ROI).
- 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 6.38% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has gone 10-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).
- 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.37% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:
Drake has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (264 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Drake has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Drake has averaged 10.7 turnovers per game (642 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (330 assists/ 264 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 30% from three (148/500) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso is shooting 32% from three (378/1,192) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Valparaiso has an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso has a 27% free throw rate (871 free throw attempts/3,216 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:
Drake has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (668 rebounds/24 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Drake has averaged 5.5 steals per game (131 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Drake has averaged 5.5 steals per game (131 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Drake has 383 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,475/3,261) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Valparaiso has forced 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Valparaiso has allowed 72.5 points per game (1,739 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1
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