Duke vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 14

California head coach Mark Madsen during an NCAA college basketball game against Stanford in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • Duke is a -12.5 point favorite vs California
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Duke / California TV channel: ACCN

The Duke Blue Devils visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Jan. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Duke vs. California Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Duke vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Duke vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 72.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 38 games (+30.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+13.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.85 Units / 1.44% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (497 assists/ 276 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,481 assists/ 892 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke has averaged 1.49 points per shot (3,841 points/2,581 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Duke has 703 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,829 points/5,250 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (3,513 points/3,256 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (2,448 points/2,286 shots) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,829 points/5,250 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (497 assists/ 276 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,481 assists/ 892 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke has averaged 1.49 points per shot (3,841 points/2,581 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Duke has 703 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,829 points/5,250 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (3,513 points/3,256 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (2,448 points/2,286 shots) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,829 points/5,250 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24


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