Duke vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 6

• Duke is a -1.5 point favorite vs Louisville
• Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
• Duke / Louisville TV channel: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Jan. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).

The Duke vs. Louisville Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Duke vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.

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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Duke has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 38 games (+30.95 Units / 1% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+9.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 19 games at home (+16.55 Units / 1% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games (+14.65 Units / 1% ROI)
• Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Louisville have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 13-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 0.35% ROI
• 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
• 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.55 Units / 23.13% ROI).

• 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 0.23% ROI
• 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI
• 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.56% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,365 points/3,138 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,207/3,138) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,681 points/5,132 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed 30.5 points per game (2,683 points/88 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.3

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has made 12.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.7

Louisville has made 12.2 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,365 points/3,138 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,207/3,138) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (5,681 points/5,132 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has allowed 30.5 points per game (2,683 points/88 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.3

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has made 12.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.7

Louisville has made 12.2 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

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