Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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Miami head coach Jim Larrañaga looks on in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Duke on Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023, in Durham, N.C.
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2023, 11:22 AM
  • Miami (FL) (18-5) are -2.5 point favorites vs Duke (17-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils (17-6) visit Watsco Center to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (18-5) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Coral Gables.

Miami (FL) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Duke vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Duke & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Duke vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke+2.5 -110O 145.5 -110+125
Miami (FL) -2.5 -110U 145.5 -110-150

Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 56.0% confidence.

Duke vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Miami (FL), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Duke and all games with BetMGM


  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+29.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has gone 9-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 3.32% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has gone 14-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.15 Units / 16.47% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 14.49% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke is shooting 42% (275/649) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke has averaged 16.9 assists per game (661 assists/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 14.2

Duke has averaged 1.29 points per shot (4,726 points/3,660 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) is shooting 76% from the free throw line (297/389) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (FL) is shooting 48% (1,640/3,437) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Miami (FL) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (330 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Miami (FL) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (854 assists/ 606 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Duke has allowed 66.3 points per game (4,044 points/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.3

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,401 points/1,257 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.5 steals per game (220 steals/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.4 steals per game (494 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (882/1,951) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Miami (FL) has 494 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.