- Duke is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Duke / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Chapel Hill, NC.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Duke vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | -5.5 -110 | O 151.5 -115 | -235 |
| North Carolina | +5.5 -110 | U 151.5 -105 | +195 |
Duke vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Duke vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 38 games (+25.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.60 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).
- 20-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.6 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI
- 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 18-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 0.69% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (809 assists/ 488 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has made 595 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke has attempted 1,611 threes at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,573 assists/ 950 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (377 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (472 assists/ 269 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (377 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed 64.2 points per game (6,163 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.6
Duke has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (3,847 points/3,577 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,382/3,577) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Duke has allowed 64.2 points per game (6,163 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.0
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (566/1,404) this season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,553 points/1,404 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
North Carolina has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,644 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
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