- North Carolina (19-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Duke (22-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils (22-8) visit Dean Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Chapel Hill.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke & all college basketball games with BetMGM
Duke vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | +3.5 -110 | O 142.5 -110 | +140 |
| North Carolina | -3.5 -110 | U 142.5 -110 | -165 |
Duke vs North Carolina Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 56.5% confidence.
Duke vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has gone 11-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 4.91% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has gone 10-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-12.05 Units / -36.46% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke is shooting 42% (275/649) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (965 assists/ 669 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke has averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,728 points/1,318 shots) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
North Carolina has 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4
North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Duke has allowed 66.3 points per game (4,044 points/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.3
Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,401 points/1,257 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.19
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,578 points/1,367 shots) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
College Basketball Betting at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
