- Duke is a -10.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
- Duke / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 157.5 total points.
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Duke vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | -10.5 -110 | O 157.5 -110 | -600 |
| North Carolina | +10.5 -110 | U 157.5 -110 | +425 |
Duke vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Duke vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 away games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+11.95 Units / 3% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 20-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 27-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.95 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
- 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 12-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.85 Units / -22.95% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.2% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.75 Units / 11.01% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.91% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (517 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (281 assists/ 138 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (517 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (517 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 1,854 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 85.9 points per game (3,351 points/39 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.7
North Carolina has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed 31.9 points per game (957 points/30 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 37.6
Duke has allowed an average of 1.02 points per shot (1,938 points/1,892 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.14
Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,833 points/1,719 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Duke has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,537 points/1,373 shots) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,854 rebounds/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
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