Duke vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

• Duke is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
• Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
• Duke / North Carolina State TV channel: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Raleigh, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-118).

The Duke vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Duke vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Duke vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 68.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.

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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Duke has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 0% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 14 games (+14.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 4% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• NC State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI).

• 26-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.35 Units / 0.47% ROI
• 9-20 when betting the Over for -13 Units / -40.75% ROI
• 20-9 when betting the Under for +10.1 Units / 31.66% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI).

• 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -1.29% ROI
• 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
• 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (870 assists/ 521 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (1,172 assists/ 657 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Duke has made 635 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,691 assists/ 1,013 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/39 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina State has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina State is shooting 41% from three (154/379) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (6,576 points/5,962 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (4,260 points/3,968 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Duke has allowed 62.6 points per game (1,378 points/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.3

Duke has allowed 62.5 points per game (1,812 points/29 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 72.5

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (141/379) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (223/535) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina State has forced 12.7 turnovers per game (267 turnovers/21 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 10.8

North Carolina State has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

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