Duke vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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  • Duke is a -16.5 point favorite vs Pittsburgh
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • Duke / Pittsburgh TV channel: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-118).

The Duke vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Duke vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 38 games (+25.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.91% ROI).

  • 20-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting the Over for -10.6 Units / -41.9% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting the Under for +8.3 Units / 32.81% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -28.46% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -5.72% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (809 assists/ 488 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has made 595 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke has attempted 1,611 threes at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,573 assists/ 950 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Pittsburgh is shooting 66% from the free throw line (273/413) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Pittsburgh is shooting 32% from three (349/1,082) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Pittsburgh has averaged 1.22 points per shot (1,632 points/1,338 shots) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed 64.2 points per game (6,163 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.6

Duke has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (3,847 points/3,577 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,382/3,577) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Duke has allowed 64.2 points per game (6,163 points/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.0

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (119/385) in the first half last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (97/306) in the second half last season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (216/691) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (93/260) in the first half this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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