- Duke (27-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tennessee (24-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The Duke Blue Devils (27-8) visit Amway Center to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (24-10) on Mar. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 2:40pm EDT in Orlando.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 128.5 total points.
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Duke vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Duke | -3.5 -110 | O 128.5 -105 | -175 |
Tennessee | +3.5 -110 | U 128.5 -115 | +145 |
Duke vs Tennessee Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this March Madness game with 57.2% confidence.
Duke vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games (+16.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 49 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has gone 16-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI).
- 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 14-21 when betting the Over for -9.1 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 21-14 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tennessee has gone 17-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -4.54% ROI).
- 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.7 Units / -21.04% ROI
- 14-20 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -21.39% ROI
- 20-14 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke has averaged 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (298 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (965 assists/ 669 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 77% from the free throw line (304/397) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has 952 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams
Tennessee has averaged 8.4 assists per game (477 assists/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Tennessee has averaged 16.7 assists per game (952 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2
Tennessee has 688 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Duke has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (233 turnovers/22 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.4
Duke has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (679 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (204 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7
Tennessee has 530 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among SEC Teams
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