East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 14

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  • South Florida is a -18.5 point favorite vs East Carolina
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • East Carolina / South Florida TV channel: ESPN+

The East Carolina Pirates visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls on Jan. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-118).

The East Carolina vs. South Florida Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Carolina vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -46.38% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina shot 69% from the free throw line (458/660) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

East Carolina is shooting 29% from three (280/956) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,203 points/1,831 shots) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

East Carolina had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (381/1,014) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (395/867) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (129/352) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 44% (788/1,781) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina shot 69% from the free throw line (458/660) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

East Carolina is shooting 29% from three (280/956) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,203 points/1,831 shots) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

East Carolina had an eFG% of 48% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (381/1,014) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (395/867) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

East Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (129/352) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 44% (788/1,781) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.