Evansville vs Illinois State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

(AP Photo)
  • Illinois State is a -10.5 point favorite vs Evansville
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Evansville / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+

The Evansville Purple Aces visit Redbird Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Normal, IL, IL, USA.

Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Evansville vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Evansville vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Evansville+10.5 -115O 142.5 -110+425
Illinois State -10.5 -105U 142.5 -110-600

Evansville vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Evansville vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 17 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Illinois State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.85% ROI).

  • 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 4.23% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -14.4% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units / 5.49% ROI

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.95 Units / 15.57% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -3.14% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting the Over for +10.1 Units / 31.61% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting the Under for -12.95 Units / -40.66% ROI

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 66.9 points per game (2,007 points/30 games) this season — 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Evansville is shooting 31% from three (212/693) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Evansville has 16.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Evansville has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (241 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 1.40 points per shot (2,232 points/1,593 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.31

Illinois State has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (298 turnovers/29 games) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Illinois State is shooting 40% from three (298/750) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville has 397 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Evansville has averaged 6.3 steals per game (397 steals/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (158 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Illinois State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (158 steals/29 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (264/716) this season — tied for 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 20th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.