Evansville vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Murray State is a -14.5 point favorite vs Evansville
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Evansville / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Evansville Purple Aces visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-118).

The Evansville vs. Murray State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Evansville vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Evansville+14.5 -102O 154.5 -110+800
Murray State -14.5 -118U 154.5 -110-1400

Evansville vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 78.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Evansville vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 68.0 points per game (6,260 points/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Evansville averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,349 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Evansville has averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for 22nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Evansville has averaged 66.6 points per game (1,798 points/27 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State is shooting 76% from the free throw line (506/670) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Murray State has averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (348 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Evansville has averaged 5.6 steals per game (152 steals/27 games) this season — tied for lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Evansville has allowed 75.3 points per game (2,033 points/27 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Evansville has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Murray State has allowed 79.4 points per game (2,304 points/29 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (854/1,822) this season — tied for 28th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Murray State allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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