- Murray State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Evansville
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
- Evansville / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+
The Evansville Purple Aces visit Enterprise Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in St. Louis, MO, USA.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-102).
The Evansville vs. Murray State Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Evansville vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Evansville | +5.5 -118 | O 129.5 -110 | +185 |
| Murray State | -5.5 -102 | U 129.5 -110 | -225 |
Evansville vs Murray State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Evansville vs Murray State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Evansville will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 34 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 10-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.95% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -17.25% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 8.35% ROI
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -13.94% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -13.94% ROI
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (260 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Evansville has averaged 66.5 points per game (2,060 points/31 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Evansville averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,349 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Evansville has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (241 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has averaged 11.1 assists per game (334 assists/30 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.9
Murray State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (334 assists/ 342 TOs) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Murray State has attempted 686 free throws this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Evansville has averaged 6.0 steals per game (186 steals/31 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Evansville has averaged 6.3 steals per game (404 steals/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Murray State has forced 11.7 turnovers per game (351 turnovers/30 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
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