Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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  • Valparaiso is a -6.5 point favorite vs Evansville
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Evansville / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Evansville Purple Aces visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN, USA.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Evansville vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Evansville vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Evansville+6.5 -102O 141.5 -105+240
Valparaiso -6.5 -118U 141.5 -115-300

Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Evansville vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 34 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a 7-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.15 Units / -29.5% ROI).

  • 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -30.56% ROI
  • 5-14 when betting the Over for -10.4 Units / -49.76% ROI
  • 14-5 when betting the Under for +8.5 Units / 40.67% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 11.62% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -3.81% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.3 Units / 16.71% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.15 Units / -25.94% ROI

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 64.4 points per game (1,288 points/20 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 75.6

Evansville has averaged 64.4 points per game (1,288 points/20 games) this season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Evansville is shooting 29% from three (142/490) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Evansville averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,349 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Valparaiso has averaged 11.8 assists per game (237 assists/20 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 14.4

Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Evansville has 351 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.6 steals per game (111 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (522/1,159) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (3,807 points/2,957 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.