- Merrimack is a -7.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Fairfield / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN+
The Fairfield Stags visit Lawler Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in North Andover, MA.
Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-120).
The Fairfield vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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Fairfield vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Fairfield | +7.5 +100 | O 138.5 -115 | +280 |
Merrimack | -7.5 -120 | U 138.5 -105 | -350 |
Fairfield vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Fairfield vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Fairfield Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.07 Units / 12% ROI)
Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fairfield has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
- 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Merrimack has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 15.48% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (183 assists/ 121 TOs) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0
Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Fairfield has averaged 1.13 points per shot (923 points/818 shots) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Fairfield made 310 three-pointers last season — most among MAAC Teams
Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has averaged 63.5 points per game (826 points/13 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 75.3
Merrimack has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (82 rebounds/13 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6
Merrimack has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (128 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield has averaged 19.7 defensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Fairfield has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,032 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Fairfield has averaged 19.7 defensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.1
Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Merrimack has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (980 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Merrimack has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (276 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.1
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