Fairfield vs Siena Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

Man in suit looking nervously at the basketball game
(AP Photo)
  • Siena is a -8.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Fairfield / Siena TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags visit MVP Arena to take on the Siena Saints on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Albany, NY, USA.

Siena is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Fairfield vs. Siena Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Siena Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield+8.5 -110O 142.5 -110+280
Siena -8.5 -110U 142.5 -110-350

Fairfield vs Siena Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Siena will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Siena Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fairfield will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Siena has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Siena have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Siena has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Siena has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.75 Units / -21.81% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -21.47% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -14.59% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.85 Units / 6.02% ROI

Siena Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Siena has a 18-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • 20-9 when betting the Over for +10.1 Units / 31.61% ROI
  • 9-20 when betting the Under for -12.95 Units / -40.66% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 310 three-pointers last season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield shot 76% from the free throw line (450/594) last season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield attempted 878 threes last season — most among MAAC Teams

Siena Offensive Stats & Trends:

Siena averaged 59.9 points per game (1,738 points/29 games) last season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 69.9

Siena has a 37% free throw rate (615 free throw attempts/1,646 field goal attempts) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 29%

Siena has a 34% free throw rate (1,104 free throw attempts/3,239 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%

Siena averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (444 turnovers/29 games) last season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 20.6 defensive rebounds per game (597 rebounds/29 games) this season — 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Fairfield has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,373 rebounds/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Siena Defensive Stats & Trends:

Siena averaged 5.3 steals per game (153 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Siena averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (643 rebounds/29 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Siena forced 9.7 turnovers per game (280 turnovers/29 games) last season — lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Siena has averaged 7.0 steals per game (204 steals/29 games) this season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.