Florida vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2023, 12:51 PM
  • Arkansas (17-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Florida (14-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Florida Gators (14-12) visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (17-9) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fayetteville.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+8.5 -110O 139.5 -110+290
Arkansas -8.5 -110U 139.5 -110-375

Florida vs Arkansas Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 68.6% confidence.

Florida vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 48 games (+19.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+17.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+10.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has gone 13-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -12.55% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has gone 12-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.25 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.6 Units / -30.07% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.1 Units / 21.33% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (326/441) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida is shooting 27% from three (141/515) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Florida has averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Florida is shooting 31% from three (419/1,348) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has made 5.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas is shooting 30% from three (343/1,124) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas has a 38% free throw rate (1,318 free throw attempts/3,505 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has 22.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.1

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.5 steals per game (144 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (517/1,323) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Florida has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,419 points/1,323 shots) this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.16

Florida has allowed 65.7 points per game (3,680 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.8

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 192 steals this season — 4th most among SEC Teams

Arkansas has averaged 8.0 steals per game (473 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Arkansas has 473 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among Power Conference teams

Arkansas has averaged 8.8 steals per game (343 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.