Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:41 PM
  • Kentucky (15-7) are -5.5 point favorites vs Florida (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Florida Gators (13-9) visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (15-7) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lexington.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Florida vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+5.5 -115O 132.5 -115+170
Kentucky -5.5 -105U 132.5 -110-210

Florida vs Kentucky Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 62.3% confidence.

Florida vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has gone 12-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -8.23% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -25.12% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (326/441) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (807/1,095) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida is shooting 31% from three (419/1,348) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (326/441) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky is shooting 47% (1,642/3,466) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (909 assists/ 648 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (439 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.5 steals per game (144 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,680 points/3,207 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (517/1,323) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (517/1,323) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Kentucky has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Kentucky has forced 12.0 turnovers per game (265 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.