Florida State vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -22.5 point favorite vs Florida State
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Florida State / Duke TV channel: ACCN

The Florida State Seminoles visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Durham, NC, USA.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-115).

The Florida State vs. Duke Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+22.5 -105O 149.5 -110+1900
Duke -22.5 -115U 149.5 -110-10000

Florida State vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida State vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.83% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.55 Units / -18.05% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.08% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 18-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 25-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.95 Units / 1.53% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has 23.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Florida State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (172 assists/ 186 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Florida State had 22.2 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Florida State has 22.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (258 assists/ 132 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (481 assists/ 267 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,134 points/849 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,022 assists/ 609 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (223 steals/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Florida State has forced 14.6 turnovers per game (860 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,708 points/1,604 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (768 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Duke has allowed 61.0 points per game (1,708 points/28 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Duke has allowed 65.1 points per game (1,498 points/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.