- Virginia is a -4.5 point favorite vs Florida State
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Florida State / Virginia TV channel: ACCN
The Florida State Seminoles visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Florida State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Florida State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida State | +4.5 -110 | O 139.5 -115 | +165 |
| Virginia | -4.5 -110 | U 139.5 -105 | -200 |
Florida State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Florida State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.53 Units / 7% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has a 15-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -1.58% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -14.29% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.32% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.85% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.05 Units / 9.41% ROI
- 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.95 Units / 18.71% ROI
- 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.95 Units / -27.93% ROI
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Florida State has a 37% free throw rate (599 free throw attempts/1,616 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%
Florida State has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Florida State has made 6.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has a 24% free throw rate (498 free throw attempts/2,044 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6
Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Florida State has forced 14.4 turnovers per game (864 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Florida State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (223 steals/27 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia has averaged 5.3 steals per game (154 steals/29 games) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
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