- Air Force (14-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (9-17)
- Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
- Watch the game on MW Network
The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-17) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (14-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Colorado Springs.
Air Force is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Fresno State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 124.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | +2.5 -115 | O 124.5 -110 | +110 |
| Air Force | -2.5 -105 | U 124.5 -110 | -135 |
Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 54.8% confidence.
Fresno State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Fresno State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 24 away games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Air Force Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.25 Units / 75% ROI)
Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fresno State has gone 9-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.55 Units / -31.15% ROI).
- 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -22.6% ROI
- 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Air Force has gone 17-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.94% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.74% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State is shooting 28% from three (127/446) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%
Fresno State is shooting 28% from three (98/350) in half court possessions this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%
Fresno State has averaged 0.88 points per shot (302 points/344 shots) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.12
Fresno State is shooting 36% (123/344) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:
Air Force has averaged 21.6 points per game (303 points/14 games) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.4
Air Force has averaged 31.3 points per game (438 points/14 games) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 18.9
Air Force has averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (94 turnovers/15 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.2
Air Force has averaged 5.1 turnovers per game (72 turnovers/14 games) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.0
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fresno State has allowed 61.2 points per game (3,490 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8
Fresno State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,351 points/1,099 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20
Fresno State has allowed 7.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Fresno State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (478 rebounds/21 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7
Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:
Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,127 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5
Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,425 points/2,681 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20
Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,203/2,681) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%
Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (114/398) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
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