Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

(AP Photo)
  • Nevada is a -13.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Fresno State / Nevada TV channel: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV, NV, USA.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-102).

The Fresno State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+13.5 -118O 137.5 -105+675
Nevada -13.5 -102U 137.5 -115-1100

Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.54 Units / 1% ROI)
  • No trends found

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI).

  • 6-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -42.76% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -13.55% ROI).

  • 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -5.1% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.89% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (332 assists/ 403 TOs) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has an eFG% of 46% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Fresno State is shooting 41% (760/1,873) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fresno State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (2,191 points/1,873 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 41% free throw rate (1,452 free throw attempts/3,522 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (320 turnovers/31 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 9.6 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Fresno State has allowed 80.5 points per game (2,496 points/31 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.5

Fresno State has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Fresno State has allowed 9.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (262/735) this season — tied for 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (705/1,626) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada forced 11.9 turnovers per game (405 turnovers/34 games) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Nevada has allowed 67.5 points per game (4,388 points/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.