Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:05 PM
  • New Mexico (20-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (10-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Fresno State Bulldogs (10-18) visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos (20-9) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Albuquerque.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Fresno State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

Bet now on New Mexico vs Fresno State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Fresno State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+8.5 -115O 141.5 -110+290
New Mexico -8.5 -105U 141.5 -110-375

Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 69.0% confidence.

Fresno State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on New Mexico vs Fresno State and all games with BetMGM


  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 25 away games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+3.85 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has gone 10-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.65 Units / -29.17% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -21.1% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has gone 16-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.54% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Over for +7.05 Units / 22.93% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -31.77% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 15% (15/98) on right wing attemps this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State is shooting 28% from three (127/446) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has averaged 41.2 points per game (701 points/17 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35.2

Fresno State has made 18 three-pointers on left corner attempts this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 0.6 turnovers per game (10 turnovers/16 games) in half court possessions this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has averaged 0.6 turnovers per game (9 turnovers/16 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 10.1

New Mexico has made 1.4 three-pointers per game on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.2

New Mexico has made 4.6 three-pointers per game in half court possessions this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (159/438) this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,351 points/1,099 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Fresno State has allowed 64.3 points per game (1,351 points/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

Fresno State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,390 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

New Mexico has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

New Mexico has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,644 points/1,412 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

New Mexico has allowed 71.5 points per game (1,644 points/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7


Bet now on New Mexico vs Fresno State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.