Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2023, 12:19 PM
  • UNLV (15-7) are -9.5 point favorites vs Fresno State (7-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Fresno State Bulldogs (7-14) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (15-7) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Paradise.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+9.5 -110O 131.5 -110+400
UNLV -9.5 -110U 131.5 -110-550

Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 69.8% confidence.

Fresno State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 49 games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (+12.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has gone 6-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.35 Units / -42.6% ROI).

  • 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -30.01% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has gone against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 28% from three (127/446) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has a TS% of 37% in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 51%

Fresno State is shooting 46% (159/348) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Fresno State has averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,273 points/1,112 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.30

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 2.3 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/10 games) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.9

UNLV has made 13 field goals on right corner attempts this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

UNLV has averaged 0.7 turnovers per game (7 turnovers/10 games) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.7

UNLV has made 13 three-pointers on right corner attempts this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed 64.3 points per game (1,351 points/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

Fresno State has allowed 61.2 points per game (3,490 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Fresno State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,351 points/1,099 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Fresno State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,390 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 18.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

UNLV has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1

UNLV has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UNLV has 212 steals this season — most among Mountain West Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.