Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 12:49 PM
  • Saint Mary’s are -3.5 point favorites vs Gonzaga
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4) visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Moraga.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5+ (-105).

The Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Gonzaga+3.5 -115O 137.5 -110+135
Saint Mary’s -3.5 -105U 137.5 -110-160

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this game with 56.1% confidence.

Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Gonzaga will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Gonzaga has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 49 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Gonzaga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Gonzaga has gone 8-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • 14-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -3.59% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has gone 12-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -0.78% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI

Gonzaga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga has made 752 field goals this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

Gonzaga is shooting 52% (752/1,443) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Gonzaga has averaged 86.4 points per game (1,987 points/23 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 76.6

Gonzaga has averaged 86.9 points per game (4,777 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Saint Mary’s is shooting 46% (1,512/3,268) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Saint Mary’s has an eFG% of 53% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Saint Mary’s is shooting 38% from three (189/503) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Gonzaga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga has averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,659 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Gonzaga has averaged 7.8 steals per game (180 steals/23 games) this season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Gonzaga has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (619 rebounds/23 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Gonzaga has 385 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.2 steals per game (415 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Saint Mary’s has 180 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has 415 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.5 steals per game (180 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.