Grambling State vs Alabama State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:38 AM
  • Grambling State (13-8) are -5.5 point favorites vs Alabama State (6-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on HBCUGo

The Grambling State Tigers (13-8) visit Dunn-Oliver Acadome to take on the Alabama State Hornets (6-16) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Montgomery.

Grambling State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Grambling State vs. Alabama State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Grambling State vs. Alabama State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Grambling State-5.5 -110O 133.5 -110-250
Alabama State +5.5 -110U 133.5 -110+190

Grambling State vs Alabama State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Grambling State will win this game with 62.5% confidence.

Grambling State vs Alabama State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Grambling State and Alabama State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Grambling has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+14.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Grambling have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Grambling has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Grambling State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Grambling State has gone 9-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.59% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 26.88% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.15 Units / -29.5% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 20.53% ROI

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has gone 12-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.15 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -31.07% ROI
  • 6-14 when betting the Over for -9.35 Units / -40.56% ROI
  • 14-6 when betting the Under for +7.4 Units / 31.97% ROI

Grambling State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Grambling State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 19.0

Grambling State has a 40% free throw rate (455 free throw attempts/1,148 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Grambling State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (290/455) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 68%

Grambling State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (290/455) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State is shooting 37% (492/1,328) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has an eFG% of 42% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State has averaged 1.07 points per shot (1,416 points/1,328 shots) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Grambling State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (504 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Grambling State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (153 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,271 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Grambling State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (364 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (122 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alabama State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alabama State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (344 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.