Houston vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 10:08 AM
  • Houston (23-2) is a Houston U -15.5 point favorite vs SMU (9-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Houston Cougars (23-2) visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs (9-17) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dallas.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Houston vs. SMU Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Houston vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston-15.5 -110O 138.5 -110-1600
SMU +15.5 -110U 138.5 -110+900

Houston vs SMU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 77.0% confidence.

Houston vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 49 games (+21.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 47 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+4.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has gone 16-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI).

  • 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -12.18% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -8.2% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has gone 9-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -15.24% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (332 assists/ 224 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Houston has averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (302 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Houston has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (224 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

SMU has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

SMU is shooting 42% (573/1,374) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

SMU has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,591 points/1,374 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (492 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Houston has averaged 8.1 steals per game (187 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has 492 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among AAC Teams

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has averaged 6.4 steals per game (358 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

SMU has 151 steals this season — 5th most among AAC Teams

SMU has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,520 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

SMU has 358 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among AAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.