Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:52 AM
  • Sacramento State (12-11) are -6.5 point favorites vs Idaho (8-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Idaho Vandals (8-16) visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (12-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Sacramento.

Sacramento State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Idaho vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Idaho vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Idaho+6.5 -110O 135.5 -110+240
Sacramento State -6.5 -110U 135.5 -110-300

Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Sacramento State will win this game with 65.1% confidence.

Idaho vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Idaho will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Idaho and Sacramento State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Idaho have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Idaho have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Idaho Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Idaho has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -4.66% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has gone 10-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 9.44% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI

Idaho Offensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Idaho has an eFG% of 55% this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 52%

Idaho has a 36% free throw rate (478 free throw attempts/1,327 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Idaho has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (148 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (230 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Sacramento State has 15.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Sacramento State is shooting 36% from three (165/462) this season — tied for best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 35%

Sacramento State has averaged 13.7 assists per game (315 assists/23 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 12.9

Idaho Defensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has averaged 4.3 steals per game (235 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Idaho has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (528 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Idaho has averaged 5.2 steals per game (125 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Idaho has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,281 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.9 steals per game (113 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (548 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Sacramento State has 286 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th fewest among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (286 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.