- Arkansas (20-13) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Illinois (20-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Watch the game on TBS
The #9 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (20-12) visit Wells Fargo Arena to take on the #8 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (20-13) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Des Moines.
Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Illinois vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +2.5 -105 | O 144.5 -110 | +130 |
| Arkansas | -2.5 -115 | U 144.5 -110 | -160 |
Illinois vs Arkansas Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this March Madness game with 57.3% confidence.
Illinois vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Arkansas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+13.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has gone 18-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -10.56% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas has gone 15-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -15.98% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4
Illinois is shooting 32% from three (179/564) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (296 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas has 22.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
Arkansas is shooting 30% from three (343/1,124) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Arkansas has made 5.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,611 points/3,248 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Illinois has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.2
Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,322/3,248) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Arkansas has averaged 8.7 steals per game (192 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Arkansas has 192 steals this season — 4th most among SEC Teams
Arkansas has averaged 8.8 steals per game (343 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0
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